Overview of International Soccer Ratings

These ratings are extremely early in development and are under construction!

Welcome to my international soccer ratings page, automatically updated daily!

My rating system uses only three variables to rank soccer teams: who each team played, the final margin of each contest, and how long ago each game was. The model heavily weights recent results and it down-weights and eventually forgets about older results. Ratings are calculated using daily data starting with the 1980 international season.

The scale of results is relative - the difference between two teams is the predicted scoring margin between the two. In practical terms, a rating of +1 indicates a team that is playing like a global contender and a rating of +2 indicates a team that’s playing like historical champions.