Overview of Club Soccer Ratings

Welcome to my European club soccer ratings page, automatically updated daily!

My rating system uses only three variables to rank soccer teams: who each team played, the final margin of each contest, and how long ago each game was. The model heavily weights recent results and it down-weights and eventually forgets about older results. Ratings are calculated using daily data starting with the 1992-1993 season across EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, and Serie A.

The scale of results is relative - the difference between two teams is the predicted scoring margin between the two. In practical terms, a rating of +1 indicates a team that is playing like a title contender and a rating of +2 indicates a team that’s playing like historical champions.